Journal article
Using Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts to Inform Seasonal Outlooks for Water Allocations in the Murray Darling Basin
TDJ Graham, QJ Wang, Y Tang, A Western, W Wu, G Ortlipp, M Bailey, S Zhou, K Hakala, Q Yang
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management | Published : 2023
Abstract
Water is a limited and highly valuable resource. In many parts of the world, water agencies allocate water according to agreed entitlement systems. The allocations are largely based on water already available in storages and rivers. Water agencies may also issue seasonal water allocation outlooks by anticipating future inflows to the storages and rivers. These outlooks are meant to assist water entitlement holders to plan for their crop planting, irrigation, and participation in water markets. Currently, these outlooks are generally based on historical inflow observations (climatology) and are often determined for a small selection of possible climatic scenarios (e.g., extreme dry, dry, aver..
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Awarded by ARC Linkage Project
Awarded by Australian Research Council via the Discovery Early Career Researcher Award
Funding Acknowledgements
The authors declare that there is no real or perceived conflict of interest regarding the publication of this article. This study is funded by the ARC Linkage Project (LP170100922). Wenyan Wu acknowledges support from the Australian Research Council via the Discovery Early Career Researcher Award (DE210100117). The seasonal streamflow forecasts can be found from the website of the Australia Bureau of Meteorology (BoM 2022). The water balance model for Goulburn system was provided by Goulburn-Murray Water (GMW): https://www.g-mwater.com.au/. The water balance models are protected and may only be accessed with permission from Goulburn-Murray Water.Author contributions: Tristan D. J. Graham contributed to the software, formal analysis, visualization, and writing (original draft and editing). Quan J. Wang contributed to the conceptualization, funding acquisition, methodology, software, and writing (review and editing). Yating Tang contributed to the software, formal analysis, and writing (original draft). Andrew Western contributed to the conceptualization, funding acquisition, methodology, and writing (review). Wenyan Wu contributed to the writing (review). Guy Ortlipp contributed to the data curation and writing (review). Mark Bailey contributed to the data curation. Senlin Zhou contributed to the data curation. Kirsti Hakala contributed to the writing (review). Qichun Yang contributed to the writing (review).